Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1249.326108 1441.794474 1664.507062 1943.760762 2288.083155 2703.445453 3.249696e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1001.508352 1249.818934 1569.580269 2021.743962 2662.157679 3565.646544 4.993691e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 865.445529 1133.129198 1501.788367 2066.024668 2945.812703 4338.870604 6.887549e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 758.636319 1029.147344 1420.973346 2058.630825 3133.009301 5008.438357 8.922378e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 692.078003 968.355434 1386.777787 2106.746495 3411.299176 5916.617509 1.191200e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 612.880556 876.223708 1287.775770 2024.906718 3434.382556 6347.004598 1.413573e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 551.125505 802.703441 1206.742467 1956.542650 3461.699274 6791.960687 1.672024e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 498.378994 737.264734 1129.857995 1880.898019 3454.015566 7155.100781 1.937865e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 480.462138 726.093898 1142.833857 1974.858567 3827.421498 8602.327703 2.713139e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 458.128848 704.822177 1134.766578 2025.254479 4117.678426 9980.388641 3.663196e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 434.614436 678.973946 1114.863682 2047.242014 4346.590851 11308.820182 4.836250e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 409.074389 647.108204 1079.885336 2030.744595 4473.702473 12389.946905 6.120792e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 392.809561 631.269666 1075.465481 2085.735106 4825.141210 14561.733381 8.917673e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 381.536333 623.571966 1086.340454 2179.366368 5327.698065 17795.134607 1.445844e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 366.776336 607.844594 1078.868069 2227.455449 5713.341956 20935.354431 2.276521e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 348.408728 583.611450 1050.946211 2219.370820 5916.730346 23427.962456 3.350377e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 336.771267 571.351361 1046.912147 2272.502120 6356.601375 27832.662260 5.979232e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 314.973760 537.459412 992.639942 2182.142404 6242.775433 28700.364698 7.708243e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 296.173072 508.285596 946.217826 2106.748500 6166.665838 29826.729508 1.033354e+06
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 278.314242 479.895915 899.227302 2023.421037 6037.703988 30502.742033 1.343037e+06
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 274.823477 480.254617 916.837970 2126.939858 6715.083150 38752.644497 4.191728e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 268.197481 473.663661 917.830867 2182.526066 7221.417070 46842.829574 1.568010e+07
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 260.031330 463.277692 908.914047 2206.791792 7602.277602 54805.952383 9.306133e+07